On the exact survival probability by setting discrete random variables in E. Sparre Andersen's model

preprint2023arXivOpen access

Abstract

In this work, we propose a simplification of the Pollaczek-Khinchine formula for the ultimate time survival (or ruin) probability calculation in exchange for a few assumptions on the random variables which generate the renewal risk model. More precisely, we show the expressibility of the distribution function P(sup⁡n⩾1∑i=1n(Xi−cθi)<u), u∈N0 \mathbb{P}\left(\sup_{n\geqslant1}\sum_{i=1}^{n}(X_i-cθ_i)<u\right),\,u\in\mathbb{N}_0 via the roots of the probability generating function GX−cθ(s)=1G_{X-cθ}(s)=1, the expectation E(X−cθ)\mathbb{E}(X-cθ), and the probability mass function of X−cθX-cθ. We assume that the random variables X1, X2, …X_1,\,X_2,\,\ldots and cθ1, cθ2, …cθ_1,\,cθ_2,\,\ldots are independent copies of XX and cθcθ respectively, c>0c>0, XX and cθcθ are independent non-negative and integer-valued, and the support of θθ is finite. We give few numerical outputs of the proven theoretical statements when the mentioned random variables admit some particular distributions.

Explore this paper’s authors, topics and related work.

Building this map preview

BZPEER is loading the nearby papers, people, topics and institutions for this page.

Reviews 0

Write a reviewWrite

No reviews yet.

Discussion 0

Add a commentWrite

No comments yet.