Moderate deviations principle for empirical covariance from a unit root

preprint2012arXivOpen access

Abstract

In the present paper, we consider the linear autoregressive model in $\rr$, Xk,n=θnXk,n−1+ξk,k=0,1,...,n,n≥1 X_{k,n}=θ_n X_{k,n-1}+ξ_k, k=0,1,...,n, n\ge 1 where θn∈[0,1)θ_n\in [0,1) is unknown, $(ξ_k)_{k\in\zz}$ is a sequence of centered i.i.d. r.v. valued in $\rr$ representing the noise. When θn→1θ_n\to 1, the moderate deviations principle for empirical covariance is discussed and as statistical applications we provide the moderate deviation estimates of the least square and the Yule-Walker estimators of the parameter θnθ_n.

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