Möbius cancellation on polynomial sequences and the quadratic Bateman-Horn conjecture over function fields

We establish cancellation in short sums of certain special trace functions over $\mathbb{F}_q[u]$ below the Pólya-Vinogradov range, with savings approaching square-root cancellation as $q$ grows. This is used to resolve the $\mathbb{F}_q[u]$-analog of Chowla's conjecture on cancellation in Möbius sums over polynomial sequences, and of the Bateman-Horn conjecture in degree $2$, for some values of $q$. A final application is to sums of trace functions over primes in $\mathbb{F}_q[u]$.

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