Martingale approach to subexponential asymptotics for random walks

preprint2011arXivOpen access

Abstract

Consider the random walk Sn=ξ1+...+ξnS_n=ξ_1+...+ξ_n with independent and identically distributed increments and negative mean Eξ=−m<0\mathbf Eξ=-m<0. Let M=sup⁡0≤iSiM=\sup_{0\le i} S_i be the supremum of the random walk. In this note we present derivation of asymptotics for P(M>x),x→∞\mathbf P(M>x), x\to\infty for long-tailed distributions. This derivation is based on the martingale arguments and does not require any prior knowledge of the theory of long-tailed distributions. In addition the same approach allows to obtain asymptotics for P(Mτ>x)\mathbf P(M_τ>x), where Mτ=max⁡0≤i<τSiM_τ=\max_{0\le i<τ}S_i and τ=min⁡{n≥1:Sn≤0}τ=\min\{n\ge 1: S_n\le 0 \}.

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