Killed Brownian motion with a prescribed lifetime distribution and models of default

preprint2014arXivOpen access

Abstract

The inverse first passage time problem asks whether, for a Brownian motion BB and a nonnegative random variable ζζ, there exists a time-varying barrier bb such that P{Bs>b(s),0≤s≤t}=P{ζ>t}\mathbb{P}\{B_s>b(s),0\leq s\leq t\}=\mathbb{P}\{ζ>t\}. We study a "smoothed" version of this problem and ask whether there is a "barrier" bb such that E[exp⁡(−λ∫0tψ(Bs−b(s)) ds)]=P{ζ>t} \mathbb{E}[\exp(-λ\int_0^tψ(B_s-b(s))\,ds)]=\mathbb{P}\{ζ>t\}, where λλ is a killing rate parameter, and ψ:R→[0,1]ψ:\mathbb{R}\to[0,1] is a nonincreasing function. We prove that if ψψ is suitably smooth, the function t↦P{ζ>t}t\mapsto \mathbb{P}\{ζ>t\} is twice continuously differentiable, and the condition 0<−dlog⁡P{ζ>t}dt<λ0<-\frac{d\log\mathbb{P}\{ζ>t\}}{dt}<λ holds for the hazard rate of ζζ, then there exists a unique continuously differentiable function bb solving the smoothed problem. We show how this result leads to flexible models of default for which it is possible to compute expected values of contingent claims.

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