Joint densities of first hitting times of a diffusion process through two time dependent boundaries

preprint2014arXivOpen access

Abstract

Consider a one dimensional diffusion process on the diffusion interval II originated in x0∈Ix_0\in I. Let a(t)a(t) and b(t)b(t) be two continuous functions of tt, t>t0t>t_0 with bounded derivatives and with a(t)<b(t)a(t)<b(t) and a(t),b(t)∈Ia(t),b(t)\in I, ∀t>t0\forall t>t_0. We study the joint distribution of the two random variables TaT_a and TbT_b, first hitting times of the diffusion process through the two boundaries a(t)a(t) and b(t)b(t), respectively. We express the joint distribution of Ta,TbT_a, T_b in terms of P(Ta<t,Ta<Tb)P(T_a<t,T_a<T_b) and P(Tb<t,Ta>Tb)P(T_b<t,T_a>T_b) and we determine a system of integral equations verified by these last probabilities. We propose a numerical algorithm to solve this system and we prove its convergence properties. Examples and modeling motivation for this study are also discussed.

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