Abstract
Here we extend the algebro-geometric approach to free probability, started in~\cite{FMcK4,F14}, to general (non)-commutative probability theories. We show that any universal convolution product of moments of independent (non)-commutative random variables defined on a graded connected dual semi-group is given by a pro-unipotent group scheme. We show that moment-cumulant formulae have a natural interpretation within the theory of homogeneous Lie groups, which we generalise for the present purpose, and are given by the log and exp map, respectively. Finally, we briefly discuss the universal role of the shuffle Hopf algebra.
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