Hitting Time Distribution for Skip-Free Markov Chains: A Simple Proof

preprint2013arXivOpen access

Abstract

A well-known theorem for an irreducible skip-free chain with absorbing state dd, under some conditions, is that the hitting (absorbing) time of state dd starting from state 0 is distributed as the sum of dd independent geometric (or exponential) random variables. The purpose of this paper is to present a direct and simple proof of the theorem in the cases of both discrete and continuous time skip-free Markov chains. Our proof is to calculate directly the generation functions (or Laplace transforms) of hitting times in terms of the iteration method.

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