Hitting and returning into rare events for all alpha-mixing processes

preprint2010arXivOpen access

Abstract

We prove that for any αα-mixing stationnary process the hitting time of any nn-string AnA_n converges, when suitably normalized, to an exponential law. We identify the normalization constant λ(An)λ(A_n). A similar statement holds also for the return time. To establish this result we prove two other results of independent interest. First, we show a relation between the rescaled hitting time and the rescaled return time, generalizing a theorem by Haydn, Lacroix and Vaienti. Second, we show that for positive entropy systems, the probability of observing any nn-string in nn consecutive observations, goes to zero as nn goes to infinity.

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