Extremes of stationary Gasussian storage models

preprint2015arXivOpen access

Abstract

For the stationary storage process {Q(t),t≥0}\{Q(t), t\ge0\}, with Q(t)=sup⁡s≥t(X(s)−X(t)−c(s−t)β), Q(t)=\sup_{ s \ge t}\left(X(s)-X(t)-c(s-t)^β\right), where {X(t),t≥0}\{X(t),t\ge 0\} is a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments, c>0c>0 and β>0β>0 is chosen such that Q(t)Q(t) is finite a.s., we derive exact asymptotics of P(sup⁡t∈[0,Tu]Q(t)>u)\mathbb{P}\left(\sup_{t\in [0,T_u]} Q(t)>u\right) and P(inf⁡t∈[0,Tu]Q(t)>u)\mathbb{P}\left(\inf_{t\in [0,T_u]} Q(t)>u\right), as u→∞u\rightarrow\infty. As a by-product we find conditions under which strong Piterbarg property holds.

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