Extinction threshold in spatial stochastic logistic model: Space homogeneous case

preprint2020arXivOpen access

Abstract

We consider the extinction regime in the spatial stochastic logistic model in Rd\mathbb{R}^d (a.k.a. Bolker--Pacala--Dieckmann--Law model of spatial populations) using the first-order perturbation beyond the mean-field equation. In space homogeneous case (i.e. when the density is non-spatial and the covariance is translation invariant), we show that the perturbation converges as time tends to infinity; that yields the first-order approximation for the stationary density. Next, we study the critical mortality---the smallest constant death rate which ensures the extinction of the population---as a function of the mean-field scaling parameter ε>0\varepsilon>0. We find the leading term of the asymptotic expansion (as ε→0\varepsilon\to0) of the critical mortality which is apparently different for the cases d≥3d\geq3, d=2d=2, and d=1d=1.

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