Abstract

An RNA-seq experiment with 48 biological replicates in each of 2 conditions was performed to determine the number of biological replicates (nrn_r) required, and to identify the most effective statistical analysis tools for identifying differential gene expression (DGE). When nr=3n_r=3, seven of the nine tools evaluated give true positive rates (TPR) of only 20 to 40 percent. For high fold-change genes (∣log2(FC)∣>2|log_{2}(FC)|\gt2) the TPR is >85\gt85 percent. Two tools performed poorly; over- or under-predicting the number of differentially expressed genes. Increasing replication gives a large increase in TPR when considering all DE genes but only a small increase for high fold-change genes. Achieving a TPR >85\gt85% across all fold-changes requires nr>20n_r\gt20. For future RNA-seq experiments these results suggest nr>6n_r\gt6, rising to nr>12n_r\gt12 when identifying DGE irrespective of fold-change is important. For 6<nr<126 \lt n_r \lt 12, superior TPR makes edgeR the leading tool tested. For nr≥12n_r \ge12, minimizing false positives is more important and DESeq outperforms the other tools.

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