Empirical Measure Large Deviations for Reinforced Chains on Finite Spaces

preprint2022arXivOpen access

Abstract

Let AA be a transition probability kernel on a finite state space Δo={1,…,d}Δ^o =\{1, \ldots , d\} such that A(x,y)>0A(x,y)>0 for all x,y∈Δox,y \in Δ^o. Consider a reinforced chain given as a sequence {Xn,  n∈N0}\{X_n, \; n \in \mathbb{N}_0\} of ΔoΔ^o-valued random variables, defined recursively according to, Ln=1n∑i=0n−1δXi,    P(Xn+1∈⋅∣X0,…,Xn)=LnA(⋅).L^n = \frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=0}^{n-1} δ_{X_i}, \;\; P(X_{n+1} \in \cdot \mid X_0, \ldots, X_n) = L^n A(\cdot). We establish a large deviation principle for {Ln}\{L^n\}. The rate function takes a strikingly different form than the Donsker-Varadhan rate function associated with the empirical measure of the Markov chain with transition kernel AA and is described in terms of a novel deterministic infinite horizon discounted cost control problem with an associated linear controlled dynamics and a nonlinear running cost involving the relative entropy function. Proofs are based on an analysis of time-reversal of controlled dynamics in representations for log-transforms of exponential moments, and on weak convergence methods.

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