Abstract

Targeted immunization or attacks of large-scale networks has attracted significant attention by the scientific community. However, in real-world scenarios, knowledge and observations of the network may be limited thereby precluding a full assessment of the optimal nodes to immunize (or remove) in order to avoid epidemic spreading such as that of current COVID-19 epidemic. Here, we study a novel immunization strategy where only nn nodes are observed at a time and the most central between these nn nodes is immunized (or attacked). This process is continued repeatedly until 1−p1-p fraction of nodes are immunized (or attacked). We develop an analytical framework for this approach and determine the critical percolation threshold pcp_c and the size of the giant component P∞P_{\infty} for networks with arbitrary degree distributions P(k)P(k). In the limit of n→∞n\to\infty we recover prior work on targeted attack, whereas for n=1n=1 we recover the known case of random failure. Between these two extremes, we observe that as nn increases, pcp_c increases quickly towards its optimal value under targeted immunization (attack) with complete information. In particular, we find a new scaling relationship between ∣pc(∞)−pc(n)∣|p_c(\infty)-p_c(n)| and nn as ∣pc(∞)−pc(n)∣∼n−1exp⁡(−αn)|p_c(\infty)-p_c(n)|\sim n^{-1}\exp(-αn). For Scale-free (SF) networks, where P(k)∼k−γ,2<γ<3P(k)\sim k^{-γ}, 2<γ<3, we find that pcp_c has a transition from zero to non-zero when nn increases from n=1n=1 to order of log⁡N\log N (NN is the size of network). Thus, for SF networks, knowledge of order of log⁡N\log N nodes and immunizing them can reduce dramatically an epidemics.

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