Dynamic Markov bridges motivated by models of insider trading

preprint2012arXivOpen access

Abstract

Given a Markovian Brownian martingale ZZ, we build a process XX which is a martingale in its own filtration and satisfies X1=Z1X_1 = Z_1. We call XX a dynamic bridge, because its terminal value Z1Z_1 is not known in advance. We compute explicitly its semimartingale decomposition under both its own filtration $\cF^X$ and the filtration $\cF^{X,Z}$ jointly generated by XX and ZZ. Our construction is heavily based on parabolic PDE's and filtering techniques. As an application, we explicitly solve an equilibrium model with insider trading, that can be viewed as a non-Gaussian generalization of Back and Pedersen's \cite{BP}, where insider's additional information evolves over time.

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