Convergence in a multidimensional randomized Keynesian beauty contest

preprint2013arXivOpen access

Abstract

We study the asymptotics of a Markovian system of N≥3N \geq 3 particles in [0,1]d[0,1]^d in which, at each step in discrete time, the particle farthest from the current centre of mass is removed and replaced by an independent U[0,1]dU [0,1]^d random particle. We show that the limiting configuration contains N−1N-1 coincident particles at a random location ξN∈[0,1]dξ_N \in [0,1]^d. A key tool in the analysis is a Lyapunov function based on the squared radius of gyration (sum of squared distances) of the points. For d=1 we give additional results on the distribution of the limit ξNξ_N, showing, among other things, that it gives positive probability to any nonempty interval subset of [0,1][0,1], and giving a reasonably explicit description in the smallest nontrivial case, N=3.

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