Binary Hypothesis Testing with Deterministic Finite-Memory Decision Rules

In this paper we consider the problem of binary hypothesis testing with finite memory systems. Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ be a sequence of independent identically distributed Bernoulli random variables, with expectation $p$ under $\mathcal{H}_0$ and $q$ under $\mathcal{H}_1$. Consider a finite-memory deterministic machine with $S$ states that updates its state $M_n \in \{1,2,\ldots,S\}$ at each time according to the rule $M_n = f(M_{n-1},X_n)$, where $f$ is a deterministic time-invariant function. Assume that we let the process run for a very long time ($n\rightarrow \infty)$, and then make our decision according to some mapping from the state space to the hypothesis space. The main contribution of this paper is a lower bound on the Bayes error probability $P_e$ of any such machine. In particular, our findings show that the ratio between the maximal exponential decay rate of $P_e$ with $S$ for a deterministic machine and for a randomized one, can become unbounded, complementing a result by Hellman.

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