An Infrared Divergence Problem in the cosmological measure theory and the anthropic reasoning

preprint2012arXivOpen access

Abstract

An anthropic principle has made it possible to answer the difficult question of why the observable value of cosmological constant (Λ∼10−47Λ\sim 10^{-47} GeV4{}^4) is so disconcertingly tiny compared to predicted value of vacuum energy density ρSUSY∼1012ρ_{SUSY}\sim 10^{12} GeV4{}^4. Unfortunately, there is a darker side to this argument, as it consequently leads to another absurd prediction: that the probability to observe the value Λ=0Λ=0 for randomly selected observer exactly equals to 1. We'll call this controversy an infrared divergence problem. It is shown that the IRD prediction can be avoided with the help of a Linde-Vanchurin {\em singular runaway measure} coupled with the calculation of relative Bayesian probabilities by the means of the {\em doomsday argument}. Moreover, it is shown that while the IRD problem occurs for the {\em prediction stage} of value of ΛΛ, it disappears at the {\em explanatory stage} when ΛΛ has already been measured by the observer.

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