Abstract
We consider the problem of enumerating permutations in the symmetric group on elements which avoid a given set of consecutive pattern , and in particular computing asymptotics as tends to infinity. We develop a general method which solves this enumeration problem using the spectral theory of integral operators on , where the patterns in has length . Kre\uın and Rutman's generalization of the Perron--Frobenius theory of non-negative matrices plays a central role. Our methods give detailed asymptotic expansions and allow for explicit computation of leading terms in many cases. As a corollary to our results, we settle a conjecture of Warlimont on asymptotics for the number of permutations avoiding a consecutive pattern.
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