A shape theorem for an epidemic model in dimension d≥3d\ge 3

preprint2016arXivOpen access

Abstract

We prove a shape theorem for the set of infected individuals in a spatial epidemic model with 3 states (susceptible-infected-recovered) on Zd,d≥3{\mathbb Z}^d,d\ge 3, when there is no extinction of the infection. For this, we derive percolation estimates (using dynamic renormalization techniques) for a locally dependent random graph in correspondence with the epidemic model.

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