A general statistical model for waiting times until collapse of a system

preprint2019arXivOpen access

Abstract

The distribution of waiting times until the occurrence of a critical event is a crucial statistical problem across several disciplines in Science. In this work we present a statistical model in which a relevant quantity X accumulates until overcoming a threshold X*, which defines the collapse. The obtained waiting time distribution is a mixture of gamma distributions, which in turn can be approximated as an effective gamma distribution.

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