A disproof of Hooley's conjecture

preprint2020arXivOpen access

Abstract

Define G(x;q)G(x;q) to be the variance of primes p≤xp\le x in the arithmetic progressions modulo qq, weighted by log⁡p\log p. Hooley conjectured that as soon as qq tends to infinity and x≥qx\ge q, we have the upper bound G(x;q)≪xlog⁡qG(x;q) \ll x \log q. In this paper we show that the upper bound does not hold in general, and that G(x;q)G(x;q) can be asymptotically as large as x(log⁡q+log⁡log⁡log⁡x)2/4x (\log q+\log\log\log x)^2/4.

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