A central limit theorem for Latin hypercube sampling with dependence and application to exotic basket option pricing

preprint2013arXivOpen access

Abstract

We consider the problem of estimating E[f(U1,…,Ud)]\mathbb{E} [f(U^1, \ldots, U^d)], where (U1,…,Ud)(U^1, \ldots, U^d) denotes a random vector with uniformly distributed marginals. In general, Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) is a powerful tool for solving this kind of high-dimensional numerical integration problem. In the case of dependent components of the random vector (U1,…,Ud)(U^1, \ldots, U^d) one can achieve more accurate results by using Latin hypercube sampling with dependence (LHSD). We state a central limit theorem for the dd-dimensional LHSD estimator, by this means generalising a result of Packham and Schmidt. Furthermore we give conditions on the function ff and the distribution of (U1,…,Ud)(U^1, \ldots, U^d) under which a reduction of variance can be achieved. Finally we compare the effectiveness of Monte Carlo and LHSD estimators numerically in exotic basket option pricing problems.

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