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Saeid Taleghanidoozdoozan

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2 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

A Novel Graph-Regulated Disentangling Mamba Model with Sparse Tokens for Enhanced Tree Species Classification from MODIS Time Series

Although tree species classification from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) time series data is critical for supporting various environmental applications, it is a challenging task due to several key difficulties: the subtle signature differences among tree species, strong spatial-spectral-temporal information coupling, and the difficulty of modeling large-scale topological context information. To better address these challenges, this paper presents a novel Graph-regulated Disentangled Sparse Mamba model (GDS-Mamba) for enhanced tree species classification, with the following contributions. (1) First, to improve large-scale context modeling, we design a mini-batch graph-regulated approach that explicitly explores topological correlation effects among input images. (2) Second, to disentangle the high-dimensional spatial-spectral-temporal information coupling for improved feature extraction, we propose a novel disentangling Mamba architecture tailored for capturing independent spatial patterns, spectral signatures, and temporal phenology behaviors in MODIS time series. (3) Third, to improve efficiency and subtle feature learning, we design novel sparse token approaches that adaptively learn the optimum subset of tokens to better address the correlation decay problem that bottlenecks standard Mamba models. Extensive experiments using large-scale annual MOD13Q1 data across two Canadian provinces (i.e., Alberta and Saskatchewan) achieved an overall accuracy of 93.94\% in Alberta and 80.19\% in cross-provincial evaluations, outperforming twelve state-of-the-art classification models.

preprint2026arXiv

Trustworthy Data-Driven Wildfire Risk Prediction and Understanding in Western Canada

In recent decades, the intensification of wildfire activity in western Canada has resulted in substantial socio-economic and environmental losses. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is hindered by the intrinsic stochasticity of ignition and spread and by nonlinear interactions among fuel conditions, meteorology, climate variability, topography, and human activities, challenging the reliability and interpretability of purely data-driven models. We propose a trustworthy data-driven wildfire risk prediction framework based on long-sequence, multi-scale temporal modeling, which integrates heterogeneous drivers while explicitly quantifying predictive uncertainty and enabling process-level interpretation. Evaluated over western Canada during the record-breaking 2023 and 2024 fire seasons, the proposed model outperforms existing time-series approaches, achieving an F1 score of 0.90 and a PR-AUC of 0.98 with low computational cost. Uncertainty-aware analysis reveals structured spatial and seasonal patterns in predictive confidence, highlighting increased uncertainty associated with ambiguous predictions and spatiotemporal decision boundaries. SHAP-based interpretation provides mechanistic understanding of wildfire controls, showing that temperature-related drivers dominate wildfire risk in both years, while moisture-related constraints play a stronger role in shaping spatial and land-cover-specific contrasts in 2024 compared to the widespread hot and dry conditions of 2023. Data and code are available at https://github.com/SynUW/mmFire.