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Quang Nguyen

Quang Nguyen contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

5 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Strategic Exploitation in LLM Agent Markets: A Simulation Framework for E-Commerce Trust

Agent-based modeling (ABM) has long been used in economics to study human behavior, and large language model (LLM) agents now enable new forms of social and economic simulation. While prior work has discovered strategic deception by LLM agents in financial trading and auction markets, e-commerce remains underexplored despite its distinctive information asymmetry: sellers privately observe product quality, whereas buyers rely on advertised claims and reputation signals. We introduce TruthMarketTwin, a controlled simulation framework for studying LLM-agent behavior in e-commerce markets. The framework is one of the first to model bilateral trade under asymmetric information sharing, where agents make strategic listing, purchasing, rating, and recourse-related decisions to optimize seller profit and buyer utility. We find that LLM agents released into traditional markets autonomously exploit weaknesses in reputation-based governance, while warrant enforcement reduces deception and reshapes strategic reasoning. Our results position LLM-agent simulation as a tool for studying institution-governed autonomous markets.

preprint2023arXiv

Big Ideas in Sports Analytics and Statistical Tools for their Investigation

Sports analytics -- broadly defined as the pursuit of improvement in athletic performance through the analysis of data -- has expanded its footprint both in the professional sports industry and in academia over the past 30 years. In this paper, we connect four big ideas that are common across multiple sports: the expected value of a game state, win probability, measures of team strength, and the use of sports betting market data. For each, we explore both the shared similarities and individual idiosyncrasies of analytical approaches in each sport. While our focus is on the concepts underlying each type of analysis, any implementation necessarily involves statistical methodologies, computational tools, and data sources. Where appropriate, we outline how data, models, tools, and knowledge of the sport combine to generate actionable insights. We also describe opportunities to share analytical work, but omit an in-depth discussion of individual player evaluation as beyond our scope. This paper should serve as a useful overview for anyone becoming interested in the study of sports analytics.

preprint2021arXiv

Poisson Modeling and Predicting English Premier League Goal Scoring

The English Premier League is well-known for being not only one of the most popular professional sports leagues in the world, but also one of the toughest competitions to predict. The first purpose of this research was to verify the consistency between goal scoring in the English Premier League and the Poisson process; specifically, the relationships between the number of goals scored in a match and the Poisson distribution, the time between goals throughout the course of a season and the exponential distribution, and the time location of goals during football games and the continuous uniform distribution. We found that the Poisson process and the three probability distributions accurately describe Premier League goal scoring. In addition, Poisson regression was utilized to predict outcomes for a Premier League season, using different sets of season data and with a large number of simulations being involved. We examined and compared various soccer metrics from our simulation results, including an English club's chances of being the champions, finishing in the top four and bottom three, and relegation points.

preprint2020arXiv

Modularity affects the robustness of scale-free model and real-world social networks under betweenness and degree-based node attack

In this paper we investigate how the modularity of model and real-world social networks affect their robustness and the efficacy of node attack (removal) strategies based on node degree (ID) and node betweenness (IB). We build Barabasi-Albert model networks with different modularity by a new ad hoc algorithm that rewire links forming networks with community structure. We traced the network robustness using the largest connected component (LCC). We find that higher level of modularity decreases the model network robustness under both attack strategies, i.e. model network with higher community structure showed faster LCC disruption when subjected to node removal. Very interesting, we find that when model networks showed non-modular structure or low modularity, the degree-based (ID) is more effective than the betweenness-based node attack strategy (IB). Conversely, in the case the model network present higher modularity, the IB strategies becomes clearly the most effective to fragment the LCC. Last, we investigated how the modularity of the network structure evaluated by the modularity indicator (Q) affect the robustness and the efficacy of the attack strategies in 12 real-world social networks. We found that the modularity Q is negatively correlated with the robustness of the real-world social networks under IB node attack strategy (p-value< 0.001). This result indicates how real-world networks with higher modularity (i.e. with higher community structure) may be more fragile to betwenness-based node attack. The results presented in this paper unveil the role of modularity and community structure for the robustness of networks and may be useful to select the best node attack strategies in network.

preprint2020arXiv

New nodes attack strategies for real complex weighted networks

In this work we introduce a new nodes attack strategy removing nodes with highest conditional weighted betweenness centrality (CondWBet). We compare its efficacy with well-known attack strategies from literature over five real-world complex weighted networks. We use the network weighted efficiency (WEFF) like a measure encompassing the weighted structure of the network in addition to the commonly used binary-topological measure, the largest connected cluster (LCC). We find that the recently proposed conditional betweenness strategy (CondBet) (Nguyen et al. 2019) is the best to fragment the LCC in all cases. Further, we find that the introduced CondWBet strategy is the best to decrease the network efficiency (WEFF) in 3 out of 5 cases. Last, CondWBet is be the most effective strategy to reduce WEFF at the beginning of the removal process whereas the Strength that removes nodes with highest link weights first, shows the highest efficacy in the final phase of the removal process when the network is broken in many small clusters. These last outcomes would suggest that a better attacking strategy could be a combination of the CondWBet and Strength strategies