Language-Conditioned Visual Grounding with CLIP Multilingual
Multilingual vision-language models exhibit systematic performance gaps across languages, but the mechanism remains ambiguous: cross-language divergence could arise from the visual encoder, the text branch, or their interaction. We resolve this ambiguity through a dense multilingual CLIP probe in which the visual encoder is held identical across thirteen typologically diverse languages and only the XLM-RoBERTa text branch varies. We evaluate two CLIP architectures spanning a 7x visual-encoder scale gap (XLM-R base + ViT-B/32, ~87M visual parameters; XLM-R large + ViT-H/14, ~632M) on 11 concepts and 210 images, and quantify cross-language agreement via cluster-mask IoU, top-percentile IoU, and Spearman rank correlation against an English reference (n=2,310 paired observations per language). Three findings emerge. First, low-resource languages (Arabic, Basque, Luxembourgish) incur a structural penalty at both backbone scales (Wilcoxon HR>LR p<10^-300; cluster-mask IoU gap +0.114 at base, +0.143 at large), isolating the deficit to the text branch. Second, scaling the encoder 7x widens the gap for structural failure cases (Basque Δ=-0.056, Luxembourgish Δ=-0.076) while improving Arabic (Δ=+0.033), separating corpus-coverage from tokeniser-fertility failures. Third, peak similarity is preserved across languages (mean ratio 0.94 at large scale) while cluster-mask IoU drops sharply, identifying spatial misalignment, not signal collapse, as the dominant failure mode. At 3.4-3.9 Wh per 1,000 queries, dense-CLIP grounding is competitive with high-throughput inference budgets, positioning it as a practical substrate for energy-aware multilingual deployment.