Researcher profile

Andrew Mugler

Andrew Mugler contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

8 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Optimal information transmission in a sequential model for cell division

In proliferating cell populations, adaptive changes to biochemical reactions can change a cell's division time, which in turn can change the population size. However, biochemical reactions are subject to noise, and therefore the conditions for optimal information transmission from the molecular to the population scale are poorly understood. Here, we model cell proliferation as a Bellman-Harris branching process with age-dependent division times. We identify a class of division time distributions, built from a series of Markovian steps, for which the population size distribution at all times is hierarchically calculable. We use this feature to characterize the amount of influence that a given reaction step has on the population size via the mutual information. We find that information transmission is optimal for a characteristic number of steps until division: too few and the population size is unpredictable; too many and any given step has vanishing influence on the population size. Our work reveals the potential tradeoffs involved in adaptive decision making at the sub-cellular, cellular and population scales.

preprint2026arXiv

Restoring information in aged gene regulatory networks by single knock-ins

A hallmark of aging is loss of information in gene regulatory networks. These networks are tightly connected, raising the question of whether information could be restored by perturbing single genes. We develop a simple theoretical framework for information transmission in gene regulatory networks that describes the information gained or lost when a gene is "knocked in" (exogenously expressed). Applying the framework to gene expression data from muscle cells in young and old mice, we find that single knock-ins can restore network information by up to 10%. Our work advances the study of information flow in networks and identifies potential gene targets for rejuvenation.

preprint2021arXiv

Autologous chemotaxis at high cell density

Autologous chemotaxis, in which cells secrete and detect molecules to determine the direction of fluid flow, is thwarted at high cell density because molecules from other cells interfere with a given cell's signal. Using a minimal model of autologous chemotaxis, we determine the cell density at which sensing fails and find that it agrees with experimental observations of metastatic cancer cells. To understand this agreement, we derive a physical limit to autologous chemotaxis in terms of the cell density, the Péclet number, and the length scales of the cell and its environment. Surprisingly, in an environment that is uniformly oversaturated in the signaling molecule, we find that sensing not only can fail, but can be reversed, causing backwards cell motion. Our results get to the heart of the competition between chemical and mechanical cellular sensing and shed light on a sensory strategy employed by cancer cells in dense tumor environments.

preprint2020arXiv

Cell-to-cell information at a feedback-induced bifurcation point

A ubiquitous way that cells share information is by exchanging molecules. Yet, the fundamental ways that this information exchange is influenced by intracellular dynamics remain unclear. Here we use information theory to investigate a simple model of two interacting cells with internal feedback. We show that cell-to-cell molecule exchange induces a collective two-cell critical point and that the mutual information between the cells peaks at this critical point. Information can remain large far from the critical point on a manifold of cellular states, but scales logarithmically with the correlation time of the system, resulting in an information-correlation time tradeoff. This tradeoff is strictly imposed, suggesting the correlation time as a proxy for the mutual information.

preprint2020arXiv

Precision of flow sensing by self-communicating cells

Metastatic cancer cells detect the direction of lymphatic flow by self-communication: they secrete and detect a chemical which, due to the flow, returns to the cell surface anisotropically. The secretion rate is low, meaning detection noise may play an important role, but the sensory precision of this mechanism has not been explored. Here we derive the precision of flow sensing for two ubiquitous detection methods: absorption vs.\ reversible binding to surface receptors. We find that binding is more precise due to the fact that absorption distorts the signal that the cell aims to detect. Comparing to experiments, our results suggest that the cancer cells operate remarkably close to the physical detection limit. Our prediction that cells should bind the chemical reversibly, not absorb it, is supported by endocytosis data for this ligand-receptor pair.

preprint2019arXiv

Spiral wave propagation in communities with spatially correlated heterogeneity

Many multicellular communities propagate signals in a directed manner via excitable waves. Cell-to-cell heterogeneity is a ubiquitous feature of multicellular communities, but the effects of heterogeneity on wave propagation are still unclear. Here we use a minimal FitHugh-Nagumo-type model to investigate excitable wave propagation in a two-dimensional heterogeneous community. The model shows three dynamic regimes in which waves either propagate directionally, die out, or spiral indefinitely, and we characterize how these regimes depend on the heterogeneity parameters. We find that in some parameter regimes, spatial correlations in the heterogeneity enhance directional propagation and suppress spiraling. However, in other regimes, spatial correlations promote spiraling, a surprising feature that we explain by demonstrating that these spirals form by a second, distinct mechanism. Finally, we characterize the dependence of the spiral period on the degree of heterogeneity in the system by using techniques from percolation theory. Our results reveal that the spatial structure of cell-to-cell heterogeneity can have important consequences for signal propagation in cellular communities.

preprint2019arXiv

Statistics of correlated percolation in a bacterial community

Signal propagation over long distances is a ubiquitous feature of multicellular communities. In biofilms of the bacterium Bacillus subtilis, we recently discovered that some, but not all, cells participate in the propagation of an electrical signal, and the ones that do are organized in a way that is statistically consistent with percolation theory. However, two key assumptions of percolation theory are violated in this system. First, we find here that the probability for a cell to signal is not independent from other cells but instead is correlated with its nearby neighbors. We develop a mechanistic model, in which correlated signaling emerges from cell division, phenotypic inheritance, and cell displacement, that reproduces the experimental results. Second, we observed previously that the fraction of signaling cells is not constant but instead varies from biofilm to biofilm. We use our model to understand why percolation theory remains a valid description of the system despite these two violations of its assumptions. We find that the first violation does not significantly affect the spatial statistics, which we rationalize using a renormalization argument. We find that the second violation widens the range of signaling fractions around the percolation threshold at which one observes the characteristic power-law statistics of cluster sizes, consistent with our previous experimental results. We validate our model using a mutant biofilm whose signaling probability decays along the propagation direction. Our results identify key statistical features of a correlated percolating system and demonstrate their functional utility for a multicellular community.

preprint2019arXiv

Temporal precision of molecular events with regulation and feedback

Cellular behaviors such as migration, division, and differentiation rely on precise timing, and yet the molecular events that govern these behaviors are highly stochastic. We investigate regulatory strategies that decrease the timing noise of molecular events. Autoregulatory feedback increases noise. Yet, we find that in the presence of regulation by a second species, autoregulatory feedback decreases noise. To explain this finding, we develop a method to calculate the optimal regulation function that minimizes the timing noise. The method reveals that the combination of feedback and regulation minimizes noise by maximizing the number of molecular events that must happen in sequence before a threshold is crossed. We compute the optimal timing precision for all two-node networks with regulation and feedback, derive a generic lower bound on timing noise, and discuss our results in the context of neuroblast migration during Caenorhabditis elegans development.